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» LCARS » Newspaper: The Federation Tribune » Newspaper Archives » 2003 » August 2003 » Space Weather Report by David Susman Space Weather Report by David Susman Here it is, as the people of Earth begin to expand from this small planet we are becoming more aware of the "weather" and how it influences our daily lives. I will be submitting forecasts of the expected Space Weather that will affect us on Earth, in case anyone is planning a long weekend to a lunar campground: 3-Day Forecast issued 1 August 2003: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low. There's a slight chance for an M-class flare from Region 424 (S18E77), but overall the disk will be relatively inactive. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at active to minor storm levels for the next 24 hours. The coronal hole which has generated the current activity will pass beyond geoeffective range by the end of tomorrow, and the geomagnetic field should settle to quiet to unsettled levels for days two and three. --------------------------------------------- Long Range Forecast: 30 July – 25 August 2003 Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. Region 421 has the potential for M-class events through the first half of the period. The block of active longitudes, which rotated around the west limb this period, will return by mid-August and may produce moderate solar activity levels. No greater than 10 MeV proton events at geosynchronous orbit are expected. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on July 30 – 05 August, 10-11 August and again on 13-16 August, due to recurrent coronal hole high. The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to major storm levels during the period. A large, recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to become geoeffective on 28 July – 03 August and produce active to minor storm levels. Coronal hole effects are expected again on 7-9 August and again on 11 – 17 August.   π

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